Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | COR -140 PENN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -4.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.8 (-7.8) | 153.4 (-12.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -2.5 (-7.5) | 154.5 (-13.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -2.4 (-7.4) | 154.5 (-13.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -2.2 (-7.2) | 155.2 (-14.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Home | 10-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#188) | -1.8 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#161) | -0.33 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#173) | -0.24 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#160) | 0.485 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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