Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | COR -400 PENN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +28 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | COR -11.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -10.7 (+17.3) | 154.6 (-2.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -9.8 (+18.2) | 154.5 (-2.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -9.6 (+18.4) | 156.1 (-4.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -10.8 (+17.2) | 157.5 (-5.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | COR 77 – 60 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#154) | -7.8 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#164) | -1.56 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#162) | -1.58 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#145) | 0.430 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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