Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | PENN +124 COR -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -1.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 177.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -1.1 (+4.9) | 158.5 (-0.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -0.5 (+5.5) | 162.0 (-4.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -1.6 (+4.4) | 160.5 (-2.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -0.7 (+5.3) | 161.0 (-3.0) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | COR 77 – 60 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 84.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#184) | 0.3 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#183) | -0.39 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#165) | -0.51 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#148) | 0.516 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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