Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 173.5 Under |
| Money | COR -345 PENN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +10 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -5.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 179.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -4.2 (-14.2) | 160.3 (+11.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -5.0 (-15.0) | 161.8 (+10.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.4 (-13.4) | 160.5 (+11.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.5 (-13.5) | 160.7 (+11.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | COR 77 – 60 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.8 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#160) | -1.8 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#209) | -0.24 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#212) | -0.05 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#137) | 0.497 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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