Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | COR -333 PENN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | COR -8.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.4 (-28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -8.1 (+8.9) | 155.3 (-18.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -6.6 (+10.4) | 153.4 (-16.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -7.3 (+9.7) | 156.5 (-19.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -8.4 (+8.6) | 155.9 (-18.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 3-11 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#101) | 0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#55) | -0.02 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#72) | 0.35 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#61) | 0.495 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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