Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | PENN +290 COR -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -9.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -8.7 (-1.3) | 150.5 (+11.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -8.7 (-1.3) | 153.3 (+8.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -8.2 (-1.8) | 150.9 (+11.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -7.9 (-2.1) | 151.7 (+10.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | COR 77 – 60 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#328) | 2.3 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#323) | 0.38 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#318) | 0.38 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#324) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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