Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | PENN +180 COR -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +6 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -3.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -3.5 (-2.5) | 151.0 (+17.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.2 (-3.8) | 153.6 (+14.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.8 (-2.2) | 151.4 (+16.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.2 (-2.8) | 152.5 (+15.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | COR 77 – 60 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#193) | 4.8 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#275) | 1.63 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#252) | 1.94 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#244) | 0.579 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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