Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -5.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -5.3 (+3.7) | 136.3 (-11.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -5.3 (+3.7) | 137.0 (-12.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -5.8 (+3.2) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -5.7 (+3.3) | 136.9 (-11.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 TEM |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TLSA 75 – 71 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 74 TEM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#120) | 0.6 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#88) | -0.66 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#109) | -0.43 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#92) | 0.446 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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