Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -850 TEM +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -14.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -14.1 (-12.1) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -11.4 (-9.4) | 150.5 (+3.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -14.7 (-12.7) | 151.4 (+2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -13.7 (-11.7) | 152.4 (+1.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | TLSA 75 – 71 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 74 TEM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | TEM 76 – 53 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#51) | 0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#67) | -0.20 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#69) | -0.30 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#60) | 0.486 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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