Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -700 TLSA +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +23 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -14.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -12.6 (+10.4) | 147.1 (-18.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -11.1 (+11.9) | 148.1 (-19.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -12.6 (+10.4) | 148.6 (-19.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -13.2 (+9.8) | 148.9 (-19.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 TEM |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TLSA 75 – 71 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 74 TEM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-17 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#127) | -8.3 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#129) | -1.57 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#127) | -1.74 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#131) | 0.420 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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