Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -150 TLSA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -6.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -5.1 (-9.1) | 142.7 (+3.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -3.5 (-7.5) | 146.5 (-0.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -5.0 (-9.0) | 145.5 (+0.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -4.9 (-8.9) | 142.5 (+3.5) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 74 TEM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | TEM 76 – 53 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#157) | -6.1 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#161) | -1.23 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#164) | -1.33 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#169) | 0.425 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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