Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -360 TLSA +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -11.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -9.8 (-15.8) | 149.6 (+4.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -8.3 (-14.3) | 154.0 (+0.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -10.2 (-16.2) | 154.7 (-0.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -9.9 (-15.9) | 151.5 (+2.5) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 TEM |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TLSA 75 – 71 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | TEM 76 – 53 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#138) | -7.2 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#137) | -1.52 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#146) | -1.71 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#126) | 0.405 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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