Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +12 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -7.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -7.4 (-4.6) | 141.3 (-15.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -5.8 (-6.2) | 143.4 (-17.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -5.4 (-6.6) | 145.0 (-19.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -4.9 (-7.1) | 142.6 (-16.6) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.