Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +31 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -1.7 (+29.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -3.1 (+27.9) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -1.9 (+29.1) | 145.7 (+3.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -1.3 (+29.7) | 145.3 (+3.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -1.1 (+29.9) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | WRST 66 – 63 DETM |
| Feb 13, 2026 | DETM 77 – 74 WRST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WRST 84 – 82 DETM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WRST 67 – 50 DETM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WRST 80 – 72 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 10-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#234) | -2.2 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#247) | -1.16 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#241) | -1.31 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#240) | 0.468 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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