Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 25, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -13.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money WRST -1800 / DETM +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +17 117 Won
Massey WRST -12.6 (+4.4)
Massey Totals 147.8 (-30.8)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -10.6 (+6.4) 143.3 (-26.3) 85%
Model 4 ML WRST -12.0 (+5.0) 143.0 (-26.0) 88%
Model 3 ML WRST -9.4 (+7.6) 141.9 (-24.9) 86%
Baseline ML WRST -9.5 (+7.5) 142.7 (-25.7) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 WRST 6663 DETM
Feb 13, 2026 DETM 7774 WRST
Jan 10, 2026 WRST 8482 DETM
Dec 7, 2024 WRST 8072 DETM
Feb 23, 2024 WRST 9378 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST DETM
Overall 15-18 8-24
Conference 8-12 4-16
Home 11-4 6-7
Away 3-12 2-15
Neutral 1-2 0-2
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L8
Avg Pts For 76.5 66.3
Avg Pts Against 77.5 76.6
Massey -1.3 (#185) -10.6 (#325)
Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#208) -1.26 (#277)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#187) -1.97 (#304)
RPI 0.496 (#188) 0.447 (#263)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST DETM
FG% 48.3% 40.1%
3PT% 38.3% 34.7%
REB / G 34.3 37.2
OREB / G 8.5 12.2
AST / TO 1.21 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.4% 44.8%
TOV% 16.9% 19.3%
ORB% 25.8% 32.2%
FT Rate 19.0% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 16.3%
DRB% 73.1% 68.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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