Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · February 23, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -10.5 Away covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money DETM +500 / WRST -600
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual WRST +15 171 Lost
Massey WRST -12.9 (-2.1)
Massey Totals 164.7 (+6.3)
Bradley-Terry 3%
Weighted B-T 2%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -12.7 (-2.3) 159.1 (+11.9) 15%
Model 4 ML WRST -10.9 (-4.1) 157.4 (+13.6) 17%
Model 3 ML WRST -11.5 (-3.5) 161.2 (+9.8) 15%
Baseline ML WRST -12.2 (-2.8) 161.3 (+9.7) 14%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 WRST 6663 DETM
Feb 13, 2026 DETM 7774 WRST
Jan 10, 2026 WRST 8482 DETM
Jan 25, 2025 WRST 6750 DETM
Dec 7, 2024 WRST 8072 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM WRST
Overall 1-31 18-14
Conference 1-19 13-7
Home 1-11 9-7
Away 0-20 7-6
Neutral 0-0 2-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 66.0 86.2
Avg Pts Against 80.2 82.8
Massey -15.5 (#355) 0.6 (#155)
Bradley-Terry -4.07 (#362) -0.08 (#178)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.73 (#361) -0.05 (#174)
RPI 0.377 (#355) 0.510 (#160)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM WRST
FG% 41.6% 53.1%
3PT% 27.6% 37.7%
REB / G 29.5 33.5
OREB / G 9.0 8.9
AST / TO 0.77 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 58.4%
TOV% 19.3% 16.4%
ORB% 26.0% 28.9%
FT Rate 22.3% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.8% 55.6%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.0%
DRB% 64.4% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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