Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · February 23, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -10.5 Away covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money DETM +500 / WRST -600
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual WRST +15 171 Lost
Massey WRST -12.9 (-2.1) — —
Massey Totals — 164.7 (+6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 3% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -11.5 (-3.5) 161.2 (+9.8) 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -10.9 (-4.1) 157.4 (+13.6) 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -12.7 (-2.3) 159.1 (+11.9) 15% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -12.2 (-2.8) 161.3 (+9.7) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 WRST 66 – 63 DETM
Feb 13, 2026 DETM 77 – 74 WRST
Jan 10, 2026 WRST 84 – 82 DETM
Jan 25, 2025 WRST 67 – 50 DETM
Dec 7, 2024 WRST 80 – 72 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM WRST
Overall 1-31 18-14
Conference 1-19 13-7
Home 1-11 9-7
Away 0-20 7-6
Neutral 0-0 2-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 66.0 86.2
Avg Pts Against 80.2 82.8
Massey -15.5 (#355) 0.6 (#155)
Bradley-Terry -4.07 (#362) -0.08 (#178)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.73 (#361) -0.05 (#174)
RPI 0.377 (#355) 0.510 (#160)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM WRST
FG% 41.6% 53.1%
3PT% 27.6% 37.7%
REB / G 29.5 33.5
OREB / G 9.0 8.9
AST / TO 0.77 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 58.4%
TOV% 19.3% 16.4%
ORB% 26.0% 28.9%
FT Rate 22.3% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.8% 55.6%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.0%
DRB% 64.4% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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