Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 13, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -11.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WRST -700 / DETM +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual DETM +3 151 Lost
Massey WRST -11.1 (-14.1) — —
Massey Totals — 154.0 (-3.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -9.7 (-12.7) 147.5 (+3.5) 84% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -10.1 (-13.1) 150.5 (+0.5) 86% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WRST -11.3 (-14.3) 149.1 (+1.9) 84% ✗
Baseline ML WRST -9.7 (-12.7) 149.1 (+1.9) 84% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 WRST 66 – 63 DETM
Jan 10, 2026 WRST 84 – 82 DETM
Jan 25, 2025 WRST 67 – 50 DETM
Dec 7, 2024 WRST 80 – 72 DETM
Feb 23, 2024 WRST 93 – 78 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST DETM
Overall 23-12 17-15
Conference 15-5 12-8
Home 11-5 9-5
Away 9-5 7-9
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.8 76.3
Avg Pts Against 75.6 78.7
Massey 1.8 (#140) -6.4 (#265)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#133) -0.85 (#242)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.49 (#130) -1.07 (#244)
RPI 0.527 (#114) 0.458 (#250)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST DETM
FG% 47.8% 43.0%
3PT% 35.0% 34.3%
REB / G 34.6 37.3
OREB / G 11.0 13.0
AST / TO 1.17 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 48.6%
TOV% 16.4% 16.8%
ORB% 33.0% 34.5%
FT Rate 27.3% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 14.1%
DRB% 69.9% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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