Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 13, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -11.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money WRST -700 / DETM +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual DETM +3 151 Lost
Massey WRST -11.1 (-14.1)
Massey Totals 154.0 (-3.0)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 89%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -11.3 (-14.3) 149.1 (+1.9) 84%
Model 4 ML WRST -10.1 (-13.1) 150.5 (+0.5) 86%
Model 3 ML WRST -9.7 (-12.7) 147.5 (+3.5) 84%
Baseline ML WRST -9.7 (-12.7) 149.1 (+1.9) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 WRST 6663 DETM
Jan 10, 2026 WRST 8482 DETM
Jan 25, 2025 WRST 6750 DETM
Dec 7, 2024 WRST 8072 DETM
Feb 23, 2024 WRST 9378 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST DETM
Overall 23-12 17-15
Conference 15-5 12-8
Home 11-5 9-5
Away 9-5 7-9
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.8 76.3
Avg Pts Against 75.6 78.7
Massey 1.8 (#140) -6.4 (#265)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#133) -0.85 (#242)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.49 (#130) -1.07 (#244)
RPI 0.527 (#114) 0.458 (#250)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST DETM
FG% 47.8% 43.0%
3PT% 35.0% 34.3%
REB / G 34.6 37.3
OREB / G 11.0 13.0
AST / TO 1.17 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 48.6%
TOV% 16.4% 16.8%
ORB% 33.0% 34.5%
FT Rate 27.3% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 14.1%
DRB% 69.9% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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