Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -8.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -5.9 (-16.9) | 139.1 (+5.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -6.7 (-17.7) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -6.5 (-17.5) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.9 (-16.9) | 141.6 (+3.4) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#106) | -1.2 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#171) | -0.13 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#131) | -0.14 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#135) | 0.495 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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