Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -140 URI +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +3 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | URI -1.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.4 (+1.6) | 151.7 (+27.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.3 (+2.7) | 151.1 (+27.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.0 (+3.0) | 151.5 (+27.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.4 (+2.6) | 153.2 (+25.8) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MASS 75 – 65 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | 2.1 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#223) | 0.53 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#211) | 0.65 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#229) | 0.538 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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