If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Atlantic 10 Conference · Mullins Center · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -1.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money MASS -140 / URI +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual MASS +3 179 Won
Massey URI -1.2 (+4.2)
Massey Totals 157.0 (+22.0)
Bradley-Terry 36%
Weighted B-T 36%
Baseline ML MASS -0.0 (+3.0) 151.5 (+27.5) 50%
Baseline Plus ML MASS -0.4 (+2.6) 153.2 (+25.8) 53%
Efficiency Plus ML MASS -1.4 (+1.6) 151.7 (+27.3) 60%
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -0.3 (+2.7) 151.1 (+27.9) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2025 URI 8882 MASS
Feb 11, 2024 MASS 8179 URI
Jan 13, 2024 URI 8977 MASS
Feb 18, 2023 MASS 6945 URI
Jan 14, 2023 MASS 7565 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS URI
Overall 12-20 18-13
Conference 7-11 7-11
Home 8-8 14-3
Away 4-7 1-9
Neutral 0-5 3-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 77.1
Avg Pts Against 75.7 75.2
Massey -2.3 (#204) 2.1 (#129)
Bradley-Terry -0.59 (#223) 0.53 (#126)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.57 (#211) 0.65 (#121)
RPI 0.474 (#229) 0.538 (#104)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS URI
FG% 40.9% 46.3%
3PT% 27.6% 33.6%
REB / G 39.3 37.0
OREB / G 14.1 9.7
AST / TO 1.06 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.2% 52.5%
TOV% 16.3% 18.2%
ORB% 34.5% 28.1%
FT Rate 23.2% 29.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.1%
DRB% 68.7% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 26.9% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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