Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | URI -225 MASS +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +24 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -2.3 (-26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -0.4 (-24.4) | 140.4 (-26.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -1.4 (-25.4) | 140.5 (-26.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -1.1 (-25.1) | 140.0 (-26.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -0.8 (-24.8) | 140.7 (-26.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MASS 75 – 65 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#218) | -1.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#251) | 0.00 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#248) | 0.02 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#248) | 0.509 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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