Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | URI -170 MASS +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | URI -8.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.9 (+1.1) | 160.2 (+9.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -5.8 (+0.2) | 155.8 (+14.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -6.2 (-0.2) | 155.6 (+14.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -6.0 (-0.0) | 158.5 (+11.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MASS 75 – 65 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#110) | -1.7 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#107) | -0.38 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#117) | -0.47 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#72) | 0.479 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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