Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -800 URI +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -11.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -9.8 (-7.8) | 149.3 (+10.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -10.8 (-8.8) | 151.2 (+8.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -10.4 (-8.4) | 152.8 (+7.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -10.8 (-8.8) | 152.4 (+7.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MASS 75 – 65 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#84) | -1.5 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#116) | 0.14 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#107) | 0.22 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#96) | 0.522 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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