This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Atlantic 10 Conference · Mullins Center · February 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -11.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money MASS -800 / URI +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual MASS +2 160 Won
Massey MASS -11.7 (-9.7)
Massey Totals 156.0 (+4.0)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 82%
Baseline ML MASS -10.4 (-8.4) 152.8 (+7.2) 83%
Baseline Plus ML MASS -10.8 (-8.8) 152.4 (+7.6) 84%
Efficiency Plus ML MASS -9.8 (-7.8) 149.3 (+10.7) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -10.8 (-8.8) 151.2 (+8.8) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2025 MASS 9188 URI
Jan 30, 2025 URI 8882 MASS
Jan 13, 2024 URI 8977 MASS
Feb 18, 2023 MASS 6945 URI
Jan 14, 2023 MASS 7565 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS URI
Overall 20-11 12-20
Conference 11-7 6-12
Home 13-3 9-8
Away 4-6 3-8
Neutral 3-2 0-4
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.5 71.8
Avg Pts Against 70.7 76.9
Massey 6.8 (#84) -1.5 (#190)
Bradley-Terry 0.75 (#116) 0.14 (#165)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#107) 0.22 (#156)
RPI 0.550 (#96) 0.522 (#134)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS URI
FG% 46.0% 46.7%
3PT% 31.6% 35.9%
REB / G 38.7 37.2
OREB / G 13.9 10.5
AST / TO 1.46 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 52.5%
TOV% 15.8% 18.8%
ORB% 37.5% 31.0%
FT Rate 25.7% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 13.0%
DRB% 69.3% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.1% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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