Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -8.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.0 (+5.0) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -5.7 (+4.3) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -6.0 (+4.0) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -6.3 (+3.7) | 142.9 (-2.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#152) | -2.9 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#120) | -0.67 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | -0.76 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#122) | 0.486 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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