Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | URI +118 MASS -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +12 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -4.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -3.7 (+15.7) | 148.7 (+17.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -3.3 (+15.3) | 147.6 (+18.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.0 (+16.0) | 149.2 (+16.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.2 (+16.2) | 148.0 (+18.0) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MASS 75 – 65 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#186) | 7.7 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#164) | 0.95 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#161) | 1.36 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#154) | 0.566 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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