Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -1000 EIU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +7 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -13.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -10.5 (-3.5) | 141.3 (-22.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -11.2 (-4.2) | 141.9 (-22.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -11.5 (-4.5) | 141.5 (-22.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -12.0 (-5.0) | 141.9 (-22.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SEMO 77 – 59 EIU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 59 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EIU 73 – 58 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2024 | SEMO 79 – 72 EIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EIU 75 – 57 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#302) | -18.2 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#300) | -2.99 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#307) | -3.72 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#291) | 0.366 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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