Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -225 SEMO +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +18 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -9.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -6.5 (+11.5) | 131.8 (+0.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -5.8 (+12.2) | 131.2 (+0.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -6.3 (+11.7) | 133.4 (-1.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -6.5 (+11.5) | 132.2 (-0.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SEMO 77 – 59 EIU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 59 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EIU 73 – 58 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2024 | SEMO 79 – 72 EIU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SEMO 78 – 64 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#308) | -14.7 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#304) | -2.49 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#310) | -3.02 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#293) | 0.387 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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