Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -350 EIU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -9.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -6.9 (+7.1) | 148.0 (-6.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -7.6 (+6.4) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -6.7 (+7.3) | 151.3 (-9.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -6.9 (+7.1) | 148.9 (-6.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SEMO 77 – 59 EIU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 59 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EIU 73 – 58 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2024 | SEMO 79 – 72 EIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EIU 75 – 57 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#262) | -10.6 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#260) | -1.96 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#270) | -2.45 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#227) | 0.403 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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