Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -0.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -0.1 (-2.9) | 140.5 (+6.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -0.6 (-2.4) | 143.1 (+3.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -0.8 (-2.2) | 143.0 (+4.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -0.5 (-2.5) | 142.5 (+4.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2022 | ULM 80 – 72 LR |
| Feb 22, 2021 | ULM 68 – 64 LR |
| Feb 21, 2021 | ULM 78 – 66 LR |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 65 – 49 ULM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 66 – 62 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-19 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#324) | -6.7 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#261) | -0.43 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#269) | -0.66 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#292) | 0.484 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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