Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | ULM -270 LR +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | ULM -8.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -5.2 (+2.8) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -6.5 (+1.5) | 153.4 (-1.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -6.4 (+1.6) | 152.8 (-0.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -6.0 (+2.0) | 151.2 (+0.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | ULM 75 – 72 LR |
| Feb 22, 2021 | ULM 68 – 64 LR |
| Feb 21, 2021 | ULM 78 – 66 LR |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 65 – 49 ULM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 66 – 62 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 9-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#261) | -9.8 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#172) | -1.06 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#181) | -1.46 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#118) | 0.450 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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