Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +160 LR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LR -2.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -1.1 (+5.1) | 130.5 (+1.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -1.0 (+5.0) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -0.9 (+4.9) | 134.7 (-2.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -0.4 (+4.4) | 133.4 (-1.4) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | ULM 75 – 72 LR |
| Jan 7, 2022 | ULM 80 – 72 LR |
| Feb 21, 2021 | ULM 78 – 66 LR |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 65 – 49 ULM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 66 – 62 ULM |
Game Analysis
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