Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +150 LR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LR -4.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -2.0 (+14.0) | 130.5 (+13.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -2.7 (+14.7) | 133.6 (+10.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -1.9 (+13.9) | 134.1 (+9.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -1.9 (+13.9) | 133.5 (+10.5) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | ULM 75 – 72 LR |
| Jan 7, 2022 | ULM 80 – 72 LR |
| Feb 22, 2021 | ULM 68 – 64 LR |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 65 – 49 ULM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 66 – 62 ULM |
Game Analysis
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