Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LR -700 ULM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +16 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | LR -12.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -9.9 (+6.1) | 136.8 (-22.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -11.3 (+4.7) | 137.8 (-23.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -11.2 (+4.8) | 136.6 (-22.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -10.0 (+6.0) | 139.3 (-25.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | ULM 75 – 72 LR |
| Jan 7, 2022 | ULM 80 – 72 LR |
| Feb 22, 2021 | ULM 68 – 64 LR |
| Feb 21, 2021 | ULM 78 – 66 LR |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LR 66 – 62 ULM |
Game Analysis
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