Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +22 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -6.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -5.0 (+17.0) | 122.4 (-18.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -8.5 (+13.5) | 121.6 (-17.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -5.4 (+16.6) | 123.2 (-19.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -4.2 (+17.8) | 124.7 (-20.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2024 | ISU 70 – 65 TEX |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TEX 72 – 54 ISU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | ISU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ISU 79 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | TEX 81 – 67 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-3 | 14-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#17) | 11.6 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#33) | 2.64 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#26) | 3.38 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#65) | 0.561 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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