Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -350 ISU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +18 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -6.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.2 (+11.8) | 137.8 (-11.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -6.3 (+11.7) | 135.0 (-9.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.3 (+11.7) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.1 (+11.9) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2024 | ISU 70 – 65 TEX |
| Jan 18, 2023 | ISU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TEX 63 – 41 ISU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ISU 79 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | TEX 81 – 67 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#7) | 14.1 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#8) | 2.33 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#9) | 2.93 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#14) | 0.576 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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