Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -1.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 110.7 (+38.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -2.4 (+6.6) | 123.9 (+25.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -1.4 (+7.6) | 125.8 (+23.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -1.7 (+7.3) | 126.9 (+22.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -2.7 (+6.3) | 125.6 (+23.4) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2024 | ISU 70 – 65 TEX |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TEX 72 – 54 ISU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | ISU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TEX 63 – 41 ISU |
| Mar 3, 2021 | TEX 81 – 67 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-5 | 16-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#27) | 15.0 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#13) | 2.53 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#9) | 3.38 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#48) | 0.589 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 26.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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