Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ISU +550 TEX -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +14 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -12.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -10.8 (-3.2) | 142.0 (+6.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -10.5 (-3.5) | 139.5 (+8.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -11.2 (-2.8) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -10.6 (-3.4) | 141.9 (+6.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2024 | ISU 70 – 65 TEX |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TEX 72 – 54 ISU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | ISU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TEX 63 – 41 ISU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ISU 79 – 70 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 11-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#193) | 13.1 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#272) | 2.64 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#265) | 3.49 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#259) | 0.595 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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