Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -154 TEX +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -2.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -3.7 (+7.3) | 132.0 (+13.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -4.2 (+6.8) | 130.8 (+14.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -4.1 (+6.9) | 134.2 (+10.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -3.8 (+7.2) | 134.8 (+10.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2024 | ISU 70 – 65 TEX |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TEX 72 – 54 ISU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TEX 63 – 41 ISU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ISU 79 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | TEX 81 – 67 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#11) | 15.8 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#9) | 3.05 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#13) | 3.66 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#17) | 0.622 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.1% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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