Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -4.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -3.7 (-16.7) | 136.5 (-7.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -2.5 (-15.5) | 138.9 (-9.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -2.3 (-15.3) | 135.8 (-6.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -2.6 (-15.6) | 135.2 (-6.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UNF 105 – 91 UNA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNA 83 – 70 UNF |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNA 90 – 84 UNF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UNA 79 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNA 91 – 78 UNF |
Game Analysis
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