Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UNF -188 UNA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -3.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -3.0 (-8.0) | 155.6 (-2.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -3.0 (-8.0) | 153.1 (-0.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -2.3 (-7.3) | 151.7 (+1.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -2.6 (-7.6) | 154.6 (-1.6) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UNF 105 – 91 UNA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNA 83 – 70 UNF |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNA 90 – 84 UNF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNA 91 – 78 UNF |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UNF 71 – 58 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#252) | -4.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#215) | -0.79 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | -0.93 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#236) | 0.453 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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