Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -1.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -0.3 (-9.3) | 156.8 (-11.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -0.0 (-9.0) | 156.1 (-11.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -0.2 (-9.2) | 157.0 (-12.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -0.0 (-9.0) | 154.7 (-9.7) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FGCU 77 – 53 LIP |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIP 86 – 71 FGCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIP 84 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIP 82 – 68 FGCU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIP 98 – 72 FGCU |
Game Analysis
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