Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -7.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -5.6 (+3.4) | 141.2 (+15.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -5.2 (+3.8) | 143.5 (+13.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -5.3 (+3.7) | 143.1 (+13.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -5.4 (+3.6) | 142.9 (+14.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#171) | -4.2 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#179) | -0.60 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#176) | -0.96 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.455 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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