Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -163 SPU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +2 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -3.1 (-5.1) | 132.8 (-10.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -4.5 (-6.5) | 132.9 (-10.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -2.5 (-4.5) | 132.2 (-10.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -2.8 (-4.8) | 135.2 (-13.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | QUIN 84 – 73 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#172) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#137) | -0.51 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#160) | -0.65 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#113) | 0.494 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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