Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -170 QUIN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +13 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -7.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -2.6 (-15.6) | 133.7 (-28.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -3.1 (-16.1) | 130.6 (-25.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -3.0 (-16.0) | 132.4 (-27.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -2.8 (-15.8) | 133.1 (-28.1) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | QUIN 84 – 73 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#191) | -5.0 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#214) | -0.34 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#220) | -0.45 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#242) | 0.481 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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