Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -310 SPU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -9.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -6.9 (-10.9) | 139.7 (+4.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -7.2 (-11.2) | 141.4 (+2.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -7.2 (-11.2) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.9 (-10.9) | 136.2 (+7.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | QUIN 84 – 73 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -5.1 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#94) | -0.47 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#97) | -0.86 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#91) | 0.480 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 37.8% |
Game Analysis
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