Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -300 SPU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -5.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -5.5 (+5.5) | 135.5 (+21.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -6.0 (+5.0) | 132.9 (+24.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -5.5 (+5.5) | 133.4 (+23.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -5.2 (+5.8) | 135.0 (+22.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#165) | -2.6 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#109) | -0.56 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#134) | -0.70 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#108) | 0.479 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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