Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -10.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money QUIN -600 / SPU +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +5 133 Won
Massey QUIN -8.3 (-3.3)
Massey Totals 134.0 (-1.0)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -6.5 (-1.5) 135.5 (-2.5) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -6.7 (-1.7) 135.0 (-2.0) 77%
Baseline ML QUIN -7.1 (-2.1) 135.8 (-2.8) 77%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -7.1 (-2.1) 134.2 (-1.2) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 15, 2026 SPU 7470 QUIN
Jan 4, 2025 QUIN 5946 SPU
Mar 15, 2024 SPU 6260 QUIN
Mar 9, 2024 QUIN 8974 SPU
Feb 9, 2024 QUIN 8473 SPU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN SPU
Overall 20-13 12-16
Conference 15-5 7-13
Home 12-2 6-6
Away 7-10 6-10
Neutral 1-1 0-0
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 74.0 64.1
Avg Pts Against 72.2 66.3
Massey -2.0 (#195) -7.1 (#280)
Bradley-Terry -0.05 (#170) -1.21 (#281)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.05 (#169) -1.63 (#286)
RPI 0.535 (#109) 0.442 (#288)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN SPU
FG% 42.6% 38.9%
3PT% 30.1% 32.3%
REB / G 38.6 37.0
OREB / G 12.1 13.8
AST / TO 1.06 0.72
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 45.3%
TOV% 18.0% 21.4%
ORB% 33.9% 38.7%
FT Rate 23.2% 24.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 17.8%
DRB% 74.0% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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