Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -1.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -0.5 (-1.5) | 143.8 (-20.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -0.9 (-1.9) | 144.1 (-21.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -1.5 (-2.5) | 145.4 (-22.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -0.7 (-1.7) | 143.6 (-20.6) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | BRY 70 – 69 MSM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | BRY 73 – 66 MSM |
| Mar 10, 2021 | MSM 73 – 68 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#252) | -3.5 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#263) | -0.48 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#270) | -0.51 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#220) | 0.499 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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