Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -6.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -7.4 (-0.4) | 144.5 (-5.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -4.7 (+2.3) | 145.5 (-6.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.7 (+2.3) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -5.0 (+2.0) | 144.4 (-5.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | BRY 70 – 69 MSM |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BRY 62 – 61 MSM |
| Mar 10, 2021 | MSM 73 – 68 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#267) | -8.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#266) | -1.65 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#247) | -2.29 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#240) | 0.445 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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