Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -250 MSM +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -7.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -5.8 (-10.8) | 135.9 (+5.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -7.0 (-12.0) | 134.7 (+6.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -6.7 (-11.7) | 133.8 (+7.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -5.7 (-10.7) | 134.2 (+6.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | BRY 70 – 69 MSM |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BRY 62 – 61 MSM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | BRY 73 – 66 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 62.2 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | -1.4 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#105) | 0.03 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#99) | 0.14 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#56) | 0.525 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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