Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -5.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.0 (-5.0) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -6.5 (-5.5) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.9 (-3.9) | 144.2 (-5.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -4.3 (-3.3) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | BRY 62 – 61 MSM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | BRY 73 – 66 MSM |
| Mar 10, 2021 | MSM 73 – 68 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#223) | -5.3 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#194) | -1.38 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | -1.68 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#142) | 0.479 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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